A Horseradish
Saturday 25th April 2020 4:41am [Edited]
8,475 posts
1. What The Experts Claim
If you want to see one of the most bullish approaches to anything by anyone in your lifetime, try to see the programme of which I include a brief clip below. BBC Hardtalk - Stephen Sackur : An Interview With David Nabarro - WHO Special Envoy for Covid-19. I found it in style half highly impressive and half could-easily- give-someone-the-creeps. There is no doubt that Nabarro has considerable and very lengthy expertise, including at WHO, which if, according to the reports I have heard, the US pulls all funding would automatically have as its principal donor Bill Gates and associates etc. "Nice!"
Nabarro who I'm assuming may well not be distantly related to the late Gerald but then how many Nabarros have you known? - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gerald_Nabarro - does an indirect form of directness so well. That hit 'em with an I'm-not-taking-any-alternative-viewpoint-claptrap arrow which, in its very bludgeoning, suggests that the bullseye is the target when to study some of his words the bullseye could potentially be nowhere to be seen. So what we get is a kind of he-must-have-said-it-mustn't-he thing about permanent changes in our lifetimes although he may not quite have said it. In other words, it is often simply heavy implication. eg: The one that goes if we don't have a vaccine or don't have a cure then we can expect some semi lockdown malarkey for ever as the "virus" ain't going away for decades to come, is it.
So given this, once you have watched the programme or brief clip, I invite you to read an article which I shall post with a brief introduction. Obviously it is aimed at forum members but if you happened to take time out to be at this year's Cheltenham Festival or are off swamp somewhere in the USA, do not think you are excluded and please feel free to learn.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000hptd
2. And What History Teaches
I do love the way Sackur sits in darkness six feet away from what is actually Nabarro's mug on a screen. Anyhow, so that is now and it looks and sounds like the future but hey let's take time to consider when then was then. Here I am absolutely delighted to bring you from no less than the February 1930 edition of the "American Journal of Public Health and the Nation's Health" this article titled "The Influenza Epidemic of 1928-1929 with Comparative Data for 1918-19".
For those of you who ever said to yourselves "hey, 50 million people died of the Spanish Flu, luckily Covid-19 is nowhere on that scale, yet that flu suddenly disappeared without vaccine or cure, how the hell did that happen?", this helps to provide you with some lovely answers. The easy guessable part of those answers is that it didn't disappear. Then one can look at what happened ten years later as proof and read with further alarm and even horror of about six flu outbreaks in the 1920s. Yes, six! But hold on for one moment. In their impacts, they were all by comparison absolutely tepid. Why?
Well, just because they were. That's all. They just were - geddit? - although the one ten years down the line in 1928-1929 wasn't all that pleasant. Meanwhile football crowds increased and theatres flourished and masks were nowhere to be seen. That is, all at a time when there was barely any health service to speak of anywhere, let alone vaccinations, cures and all the rest of what we rely upon now. So, no, Covid-19 if it exists ain't going away but future waves beyond the current crop in, say, the next 10 or 20 years could conceivably be much less severe or presumably even on the sort of level of a mild flu year, irrespective of vaccines, cures or lockdown orders. So we may well have no need for any of them at all.
https://ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/pdf/10.2105/AJPH.20.2.119
It turns out, actually, in material I have sourced from elsewhere that within a tiny number of years, even the Spanish Flu wasn't remembered. It seems extraordinary but it entirely went out of the public's consciousness for decades. A part of the reason was that its memory was overshadowed by the memory of WW1 and then the later experience of having to go through a WW2. It would take until two much later major flu epidemics - one in the 1950s and one in 1968 - for the occasional free thinker to dig out the old Spanish Flu stuff and write a book about it. Then it was done again in the 1980s by one or two people with reference to HIV. But.....but, had the story of the 1920s been different. Had it been a story of dire flu impacts year after year through to 1929, no one would have ever forgotten it. The devastation would have overwhelmed. But that wasn't the story so everybody did forget it and got on with their increasingly 20th Century lives.