Tursiops
Saturday 8th May 2010 10:05am [Edited]
Welwyn Garden City
9,788 posts
Quote: Alfred J Kipper @ May 8 2010, 10:03 AM BST
Clegg is clearly in the wrong party, there's very little that's really Liberal about him, he's a left of centre Tory like Ken Clarke.
As was Tony Blair, and he seemed to have no problem taking the Labour Party with him.
For Clegg the important thing is to make a hung parliament work, as that kills off one of the key arguments for the first past the post voting system.
No one wants to frighten the voters, so there is very little in terms of declared policy that separates the Liberals form the Conservatives (or either of them from Labour.) In the debates they were really struggling to find points of substance to disagree on.
Cameron's three lines in the sand were Europe, immigration and Trident. Europe is a non-issue at the moment - the Tories are not proposing going back on the Treaty and the LibDems are (obviously) no longer proposing entry into the euro. On immigration the parties disagree about the means, not the ends. Trident is tricky, but the LibDems would be satisfied with it being included within the scope of the Defence Review (as it always should have been.)
On cuts they all agree it has to happen, but disagree about when. But the reality is that the Tories cannot cut as deep or as quickly as they say they can. On taxes they agree on NICS, and the Conservatives will happily concede the LibDems proposals for tax cuts for low earners; it will then be up to them to balance the rest of the Budget. If I was Osborne I would leap at the LibDem proposal for a cross party working group on the economy, to ensure that Labour also were implicated, and no-one could start making party political points when the riots start.
The big sticking point is electoral reform. If I was Clegg I would accept Cameron's call for a Commission, but insist that it had a Statutory basis and was under a legal obligation to submit proposals for a referendum on a form of proportional representation, and that in law this had to happen within two years.
On Cabinet posts, Clegg should demand the title of First Secretary, and Cameron could surrender Education and Environment without losing too much sleep (well, at least until they all realise how much a low carbon economy is actually going to cost.) The Lib Dems should also demand Scotland as the Tories do not have a power base there, and there should be a Cabinet level role for Vince Cable in the Treasury, with a brief to reform the City and rebalance the economy.
Much less than that on the table and Clegg should withdraw from the talks and prop up the Tory administration on a supply and confidence basis. The idea of keeping Gordon Brown in power is unthinkable; he just does not command enough seats for it to be workable. Also Brown is impossible to work with.