British Comedy Guide

General Election 2024 Page 41

Quote: Chappers @ 9th July 2024, 1:52 PM

So without any viable opposition Labour will just do what they want and overturn everything. Hopefully they can't do anything abut Brexit though with all the ill-feeling around Europe for the EU.

They're not planning to overturn everything. Governments never just reverse everything their predecessors did.
They can't just do whatever they like without fear of consequence either. Not if they want to get re-elected.
Brexit will probably continue to damage us for many years to come, sadly...

Sat in my cosy armchair watching the opening of Parliament on telly

Just like Liz , Jacob and Penny are 😝😝😝

Quote: lofthouse @ 9th July 2024, 2:36 PM

Sat in my cosy armchair watching the opening of Parliament on telly

Just like Liz , Jacob and Penny are 😝😝😝

All four of you in the same armchair?! That certainly does sound cosy!

🤣

Every party leader stood up and spoke kind warm words

All except one

Farage couldn't let this opportunity pass without insulting the previous speaker of the house

Classy

Bercow was a twat.

Quote: a plate @ 9th July 2024, 4:04 PM

All four of you in the same armchair?! That certainly does sound cosy!

All trussed up together.

Quote: lofthouse @ 5th July 2024, 10:09 PM

Corbyn fought two elections that were essentially two horse races - hence a much larger vote share

And why were they 'two-horse races'? That's right, because the Tory vote didn't collapse, like it did in this one. Labour got almost exactly the same percentage of the vote this time as it got in 2019. The Tories got 20% less (19.8%).

Quote: lofthouse @ 5th July 2024, 10:09 PM

This election was completely different- Lib Dems did remarkably well seats wise, Reform had a large vote share, and there was mass tactical voting by Labour voters who didn't want to waste their votes in constituencies that Labour couldn't win - so lent their votes elsewhere, like Lazzard

The Lib Dem vote increased because the Tory vote collapsed. Do you not understand how great a 20% loss of vote share is? Where do you think it went since Labour's vote didn't increase? The collapsing Tory vote was shared out across Reform and the Lib Debs. Of course a few Conservative voters may have opted for Starmer, but their vote is offset by the bleed of former Labour voters to the Greens and other independents because the Labour vote didn't grow.

Quote: lofthouse @ 5th July 2024, 10:09 PM

share in fptp Is irrelevant, its seats that matter

Labour got f**kin 400 plus and beat the shit out of the Tories

That's why FPTP isn't used anywhere else in the world except Belarus - it's fundamentally undemocratic.

Quote: lofthouse @ 5th July 2024, 10:09 PM

Corbyn is a f**king loser and only cares about himself and his stupid ego

Corbyn won his seat as an independent, with a 7K majority. The eleventh time he's been elected to Parliament. You might not like him, but the last thing he is is a loser. He actually got 8K more votes than Starmer in a constituency with almost exactly the same size of electorate. Starmer's vote was down 15% on 2019 and is now 17K - a far cry from the 41K it was in 2017 when he was a friend of Jeremy Corbyn.

Quote: lofthouse @ 5th July 2024, 10:09 PM

Starmer on the other hand is the Prime Minister - a winner. He transformed the party and took power

Starmer has marginalised the left in the party by prescribing left wing groups (but not right wing ones), expelling left-wing members for bogus reasons (one member was famously expelled for liking a tweet by Nicola Sturgeon saying she hadn't tested positive for Covid), depressing the membership by completely junking the 2017 manifesto, which he described as a 'foundational document' in his election campaign. Lied to get elected, presenting himself as 'Corbyn in a suit' and wasted the 13m we had in the coffers after 2019 on legal cases against ex-staffers. By any metric he's been a disaster for the Party. Yes we're in government, but we have a bunch of genuinely awful corporate lobbyists as MPs and a chancellor who used to work for HBOS and is committed to £20 billion of Tory spending cuts.

Quote: lofthouse @ 5th July 2024, 10:09 PM

Corbyn virtually destroyed the party and was one of the worst Labour leaders in history

You watch too much GMB TV. Corbyn achieved a hung parliament in 2017 with 12m votes and 40% share with a progressive manifesto, committing to re-nationalise all public utilities and invest 28b in green energy. He was, until Starmer, the only Labour leader to gain seats at an election this century (30) reversing the poor performances of Brown and Miliband. He didn't win an election, but he would have won this one, as would Miliband, and even Kinnock.

The Labour Party has always had a membership that is much more left wing than its parliamentary caucasus and administrative staff. Corbyn was elected leader twice and received the largest mandate from the membership of any leader in the Party's history. He faced an internal battle from 2015 and was never able to wrest the Party away from the right. It is now so entrenched that I think it's likely that the Labour Party will replace the Conservative Party as the vehicle of the centre right and what few left wingers in Labour that remain - both MPs and members will decamp to the Greens.

Quote: Alfred J Kipper @ 8th July 2024, 7:42 AM

It was a catastrophic Tory collapse, not a resounding vote for Labour. Usual Tory voters swung over to Reform and Libdems in huge numbers. Starmer's 33.7% of the votes was significantly less than Corbyn's 40.2% in 2017, hardly a searing endorsement of the new leader.

And it has to be said, without Farage's 11th hour stunt, the Tories would have won a lot more seats. The result due to FPTP flatters Labour hugely and they won't get anywhere near that number of seats next time if the Tories win back the Reform voters.

Absolutely correct.

Quote: Hercules Grytpype Thynne @ 7th July 2024, 11:12 PM

No glory about it - they got in by default. Hardly a victory and nothing to crow about, is it.

I'm wondering now how many times Fozzie Starmer & Co are going to use the excuse of "what we've inherited" as an explanation as to why they can't fulfil their promises.

Some people are going to be very shocked I think, by how right wing this Labour government is going to be, and how beholden to lobbying from capital. Starmer's obviously terrible, but the real fun and games will start when they push through leadership election changes at conference to make electing a leader the sole responsibility of Labour MPs. It's the only way they can get little Wes in - the membership will never vote for him.

You are living in a dream world!
It doesn't work copying and pasting your favourite statistics from some elections and using them to construct your own fantasy general election result !
Every election is different and is fought in entirely different circumstances. The Tory voting collapse did not occur in isolation. All we know for certain is that Corbyn led Labour to two defeats and Starmer has just led the party to an historic Labour victory. I doubt Corbyn would have even made it into power.
Honestly! Who needs Tories when there are Labour Party members like you around?

I thought they were very interesting and concise posts. Unbiased with facts that can't be discredited. Dream world ha!

Facts are not a much used mode of debate on these forums.

Quote: Stephen Goodlad @ 10th July 2024, 7:55 AM

I thought they were very interesting and concise posts. Unbiased with facts that can't be discredited. Dream world ha!

Concise? I suspect a not entirely serious response here!

Quote: Billy Bunter @ 10th July 2024, 8:11 AM

Facts are not a much used mode of debate on these forums.

Speak for yourself!

Quote: lofthouse @ 5th July 2024, 10:09 PM

Quote: Godot Taxis @ 10th July 2024, 1:55 AM

And why were they 'two-horse races'? That's right, because the Tory vote didn't collapse, like it did in this one. Labour got almost exactly the same percentage of the vote this time as it got in 2019. The Tories got 20% less (19.8%).
The Lib Dem vote increased because the Tory vote collapsed. Do you not understand how great a 20% loss of vote share is? Where do you think it went since Labour's vote didn't increase? The collapsing Tory vote was shared out across Reform and the Lib Debs. Of course a few Conservative voters may have opted for Starmer, but their vote is offset by the bleed of former Labour voters to the Greens and other independents because the Labour vote didn't grow.
That's why FPTP isn't used anywhere else in the world except Belarus - it's fundamentally undemocratic.
Corbyn won his seat as an independent, with a 7K majority. The eleventh time he's been elected to Parliament. You might not like him, but the last thing he is is a loser. He actually got 8K more votes than Starmer in a constituency with almost exactly the same size of electorate. Starmer's vote was down 15% on 2019 and is now 17K - a far cry from the 41K it was in 2017 when he was a friend of Jeremy Corbyn.
Starmer has marginalised the left in the party by prescribing left wing groups (but not right wing ones), expelling left-wing members for bogus reasons (one member was famously expelled for liking a tweet by Nicola Sturgeon saying she hadn't tested positive for Covid), depressing the membership by completely junking the 2017 manifesto, which he described as a 'foundational document' in his election campaign. Lied to get elected, presenting himself as 'Corbyn in a suit' and wasted the 13m we had in the coffers after 2019 on legal cases against ex-staffers. By any metric he's been a disaster for the Party. Yes we're in government, but we have a bunch of genuinely awful corporate lobbyists as MPs and a chancellor who used to work for HBOS and is committed to £20 billion of Tory spending cuts.
You watch too much GMB TV. Corbyn achieved a hung parliament in 2017 with 12m votes and 40% share with a progressive manifesto, committing to re-nationalise all public utilities and invest 28b in green energy. He was, until Starmer, the only Labour leader to gain seats at an election this century (30) reversing the poor performances of Brown and Miliband. He didn't win an election, but he would have won this one, as would Miliband, and even Kinnock.
The Labour Party has always had a membership that is much more right wing than its parliamentary caucasus and administrative staff. Corbyn was elected leader twice and received the largest mandate from the membership of any leader in the Party's history. He faced an internal battle from 2015 and was never able to wrest the Party away from the right. It is now so entrenched that I think it's likely that the Labour Party will replace the Conservative Party as the vehicle of the centre right and what few left wingers in Labour that remain - both MPs and members will decamp to the Greens.
Absolutely correct.

***thouse is never one to let facts get in the way of his fabrications

Quote: Chris Hallam @ 10th July 2024, 6:55 AM

You are living in a dream world!
It doesn't work copying and pasting your favourite statistics from some elections and using them to construct your own fantasy general election result !
Every election is different and is fought in entirely different circumstances. The Tory voting collapse did not occur in isolation. All we know for certain is that Corbyn led Labour to two defeats and Starmer has just led the party to an historic Labour victory. I doubt Corbyn would have even made it into power.
Honestly! Who needs Tories when there are Labour Party members like you around?

But you're completely avoiding the certain fact that several million who voted Tory last time did NOT jump over to Labour, but to a more right wing alternative and an EU Rejoiner alternative, mirroring the split over Brexit in the Tory party. Labour ate up the seats because the non Labour vote was shared among too many parties.

Starmer got over 3 million LESS votes than Corbyn in 2017, that has to be a big worry for the new govt and their full on policy of 'change'. It seems many Labour voters didn't want to.

Quote: Alfred J Kipper @ 10th July 2024, 9:01 AM

But you're completely avoiding the certain fact that several million who voted Tory last time did NOT jump over to Labour, but to a more right wing alternative and an EU Rejoiner alternative, mirroring the split over Brexit in the Tory party. Labour ate up the seats because the non Labour vote was shared among too many parties.

Starmer got over 3 million LESS votes than Corbyn in 2017, that has to be a big worry for the new govt and their full on policy of 'change'. It seems many Labour voters didn't want to.

Reasonable points. But mad to assume from that that Labour would still have won a landslide last week had Corbyn still been leader.

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