Billy Bunter
Sunday 20th December 2020 3:06pm [Edited]
The Sussex Coast
4,665 posts
Quote: Lazzard @ 20th December 2020, 12:51 PM
Research is good - it what divides truth from rumour.
Don't knock it.
If I see something I think isn't true, I do some research - who ever posts it.
If you posted your sources it would save a lot of time.
Fullfact.org confirms that there have been 513,659 deaths this year up to the week of 25 September. https://fullfact.org/online/2020-death-toll-comparison/
It then adds the total deaths for the last 13 weeks of 2019 (154,165) to come up with a projected 52 week total of 667,824.
It then states that "that would be the highest annual death toll in the UK since 1985". So clearly not that unprecedented then. And other years would have been higher - the 1969 Hong Kong flu epidemic for example.
In fact, if you look at the weekly figures this year from w/e 2/10/20 to w/e 4/12/20 it is actually a total of 129,134 for E&W, NI & Scotland combined over those 10 weeks. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/weeklyprovisionalfiguresondeathsregisteredinenglandandwales
So, if you project that over 13 weeks, it gives you 167,874 and therefore a yearly total for 2020 of 681,533 - more than fullfact.org's projected figure.
I haven't sourced the total UK death figure for 1985 but we know from fullfact.org that it was more than their projected 667,824. Even if it were exactly that number that means there will be an additional 13,709 deaths in 2020 over 1985. This equates to an additional 263 deaths per week. In an increasing & ageing population.
And of course some of those additional deaths will have been as a result of cancelled treatment for other illnesses and from increased mental health issues.